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May 4, 2026

Out-of-home care and criminal conviction trajectories from adolescence to midlife: A Swedish prospective cohort study of siblings.

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Prospective study examines criminal trajectories in siblings with differential out-of-home care exposure, indicating significant risks.

This study aims to explore how out-of-home care affects criminal conviction trajectories from adolescence to midlife, considering shared familial influences.
Utilized Swedish register data on children born between 1972 and 1979 (N = 804,553).
Applied sex-stratified latent class growth analysis to identify conviction trajectories from ages 15 to 40.
Estimated associations with out-of-home care using multilevel multinomial logistic regression accounting for sibling clustering.
45.58% of men and 15.63% of women had one or more convictions, with various trajectory patterns identified.
Men displayed low decreasing and high stable trajectories, while women exhibited low increasing and high increasing trends.
Out-of-home placement during adolescence was linked to higher likelihood of following adverse criminal trajectories compared to non-placed siblings.

Seker et al. (2026) studied this question.

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