Predictors for adverse outcomes of patients with recanalized chronic total occlusion lesion

BACKGROUND: It is ill-defined which factors affect the prognosis of patients with recanalized chronic total occlusion (CTO). This study sought to investigate predictors for adverse outcome in such a cohort with long-time follow-up. METHODS: From 2010 to 2013, patients with successfully recanalized CTO were included. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction or target vessel revascularization (TVR). The secondary endpoints were TVR and target lesion revascularization (TLR). RESULTS: A total of 1987 patients were enrolled and 1806 (90.6%) subjects completed 5-year follow-up. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that age ≥ 75 years (HR,1.70; 95% CI, 1.09-2.64; P = .02), left ventricular ejection fraction <40% (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.02-3.69; P = .04) and residual SYNTAX score (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04; P = .01) were predictors for the primary endpoint. Non-LAD CTO (HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.23-2.70; P < .01), J-CTO score (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.11-1.54; P < .01) and residual SYNTAX score (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00-1.04; P = .04) were independently related to TVR. Non-LAD CTO, high J-CTO score and residual SYNTAX score was also correlated with TLR. CONCLUSIONS: Advanced age, left ventricular dysfunction and residual SYNTAX score were predictors for composite cardiovascular events in patients with CTO after revascularization. Those with non-LAD CTO, high J-CTO and residual SYNTAX score had higher risk for revascularization.