Predictors of in-hospital and 6-month outcome after acute myocardial infarction in the reperfusion era: The primary angioplasty in myocardial infarction (PAMI) trial

OBJECTIVES: This study examined the predictors of in-hospital and 6-month outcome after different reperfusion strategies in acute myocardial infarction. BACKGROUND: Thrombolytic therapy and primary angioplasty are both widely applied as reperfusion modalities in patients with myocardial infarction. Although it is accepted that restoration of early patency of the infarct-related artery can reduce mortality and salvage myocardium, the optimal reperfusion strategy remains controversial, and the predictors of outcome in the reperfusion era have been incompletely characterized. METHODS: At 12 centers, 395 patients presenting within 12 h of onset of acute transmural myocardial infarction were prospectively randomized to receive tissue-type plasminogen activator (t-PA) or undergo primary angioplasty without antecedent thrombolysis. Sixteen clinical variables were examined with univariate and multiple logistic regression analysis to identify the predictors of clinical outcome. RESULTS: By univariate analysis, in-hospital mortality was increased in the elderly, women, patients with diabetes and in patients treated with t-PA as opposed to angioplasty. Only advanced age and treatment by t-PA versus angioplasty independently correlated with increased in-hospital mortality (6.5% vs. 2.6%, respectively, p = 0.039 by multiple logistic regression analysis). Similarly, the only variables independently related to in-hospital death or nonfatal reinfarction were advanced age and treatment by t-PA versus angioplasty (12.0% vs. 5.1%, p = 0.02). The reduction in in-hospital death or reinfarction with angioplasty versus t-PA was particularly marked in patients > or = 65 years of age (8.6% vs. 20.0%, p = 0.048). Furthermore, primary management with angioplasty versus t-PA was the most powerful multivariate correlate of freedom from recurrent ischemic events (10.3% vs. 28.0%, p = 0.0001). The independent beneficial effect of angioplasty on freedom from death or reinfarction was maintained at 6-month follow-up (8.2% vs. 17.0%, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: In the reperfusion era, the two most powerful determinants of freedom from death, reinfarction and recurrent ischemia after myocardial infarction are young age and treatment by primary angioplasty.