What does this research mean for the field?

Rapid European rearmament poses destabilizing risks that must be managed through a controlled build-up incorporating Cold War-era risk reduction mechanisms and global arms control regimes. Novelty: ClaimNovelty.INCREMENTAL. Consensus alignment: ConsensusAlignment.NEUTRAL.

What question did this study set out to answer?

Identify potential destabilizing security risks arising from rapid European defense expansion and advocate for structured, controlled rearmament frameworks.

August 22, 2026Global PolicyOpen Access

Risk Scenarios for European Rearmament

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Authors

MEMette Eilstrup‐Sangiovanni

Discussion

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Overview

Analytical path projection reveals destabilizing security risks from rapid European rearmament, suggesting the necessity of controlled arms build-up and reinforced global arms control regimes.

Key Points

Identify potential destabilizing security risks arising from rapid European defense expansion and advocate for structured, controlled rearmament frameworks.
Applied analytical path projection to forecast emerging international security risks associated with European military build-ups.
Synthesized historical risk-reduction models from the Cold War with modern global arms control and humanitarian disarmament architectures.
Unmanaged and rapid rearmament introduces substantial systemic risks to European stability and broader international security structures.
Mitigating rearmament risks requires implementing risk-reduction and confidence-building mechanisms, assessing broader global geopolitical impacts beyond the immediate Russia dyad, and reinforcing multilateral arms control regimes.

Cite This Study

Mette Eilstrup‐Sangiovanni (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a895f74ca7ade938187e1ba https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70216

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August 22, 2026Global PolicyOpen Access

Risk Scenarios for European Rearmament

View Full Paper

Ask AI

Bookmark

Authors

MEMette Eilstrup‐Sangiovanni

Discussion

Member takes

Overview

Analytical path projection reveals destabilizing security risks from rapid European rearmament, suggesting the necessity of controlled arms build-up and reinforced global arms control regimes.

Key Points

Identify potential destabilizing security risks arising from rapid European defense expansion and advocate for structured, controlled rearmament frameworks.
Applied analytical path projection to forecast emerging international security risks associated with European military build-ups.
Synthesized historical risk-reduction models from the Cold War with modern global arms control and humanitarian disarmament architectures.
Unmanaged and rapid rearmament introduces substantial systemic risks to European stability and broader international security structures.
Mitigating rearmament risks requires implementing risk-reduction and confidence-building mechanisms, assessing broader global geopolitical impacts beyond the immediate Russia dyad, and reinforcing multilateral arms control regimes.

Cite This Study

Mette Eilstrup‐Sangiovanni (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a895f74ca7ade938187e1ba https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70216

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