Historical analysis reveals the 930 Qarmaṭī sack of Mecca as a rational coercive bargaining strategy against ʿAbbāsid economic exclusion, highlighting geopolitical motives over sectarian schism.
This study re-examines the Jannābid (Qarmaṭī) sack of Mecca and seizure of the Black Stone in 317/930. Moving beyond sectarian explanations, it argues the attack was the calculated apex of a coercive strategy, provoked by ʿAbbāsid economic blockade, political exclusion and refusal to recognise the Jannābid polity. Applying Schelling’s and Fearon’s theories of coercive bargaining, the article reframes this state-periphery conflict not as a religious schism but as a rational escalation in a struggle for economic integration and political recognition. A critical reading of ʿAbbāsid and Fāṭimid sources reveals how ʿAbbāsid intransigence and failed diplomacy ultimately transformed a regional revolt into a symbolic strike against Islam’s holiest sanctuary.
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Faisal Adel Alwazzan (2026) studied this question.
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