Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease Classification on New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in the General Population ― The TAMA MED Project-AF and CKD ―

BACKGROUND Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are known risk factors for each other. In Tama City in Tokyo, 12-lead ECG and serum creatinine concentration have been included as essential examinations in specific health checkups to diagnose AF and CKD. In the present study, we investigated the impact of CKD classification on new-onset AF in the general population.Methods and Results:Among 13,478 subjects aged 40-74 years at entry (age, 65.6±7.8 years; men, 42.0%), renal impairment with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2and proteinuria were found in 15.5% and 4.6%, respectively. CKD severity in individual subjects was classified according to a heatmap of the Japanese Society of Nephrology as 81.3% in the green, 15.1% in the yellow, 2.5% in the orange, and 0.9% in the red. Of those without AF in 2012, it had developed in 115 up to 2017; thus, the new-onset AF incidence rate was 2.6/1,000 person-years. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for new-onset AF in each CKD classification were 1.50 (0.93-2.41, P=0.097) in the yellow, 2.53 (1.03-6.23, P=0.044) in the orange, and 4.65 (1.47-14.70, P=0.009) in the red compared with the green as a reference. CONCLUSIONS CKD classification was significantly associated with new-onset AF in the general population. Thus, it would be useful for risk stratification of new-onset AF. Renal function evaluation is recommended in health checkups.