High Thrombin Generation after Acute Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack Is Associated with a Reduced Risk of Recurrence: An Observational Cohort Study

Thrombin is increasingly recognized to be of importance for cardiovascular disease. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of thrombin generation variables in a cohort of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Thrombin generation potential measured by calibrated automated thrombogram (CAT) and prothrombin fragment F1 + 2 was determined in the acute and convalescent phases for a cohort of 190 patients with AIS/TIA. Microvesicle (MV)-induced thrombin generation potential was determined for a subset of patients using modified CAT. Primary outcome was a composite of fatal and nonfatal AIS or myocardial infarction as documented in Swedish registers during a total follow-up of 986 patient-years. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using Cox regression based on variable median split. Peak thrombin and endogenous thrombin potential (ETP) above median in the acute phase were associated with a reduced risk of primary outcome after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, HR: 0.50 (0.27–0.92), p = 0.026 and HR: 0.53 (0.28–0.99), p = 0.048, respectively. F1 + 2 was lower in patients than in healthy controls but not associated with outcome. MV-induced peak thrombin above median in the acute phase was associated with recurrent AIS, unadjusted HR: 2.65 (1.03–6.44), p = 0.044. Contrary to expectation, high thrombin generation potential is associated with a reduced risk of recurrent ischemic event in patients with AIS/TIA. Low ETP/peak thrombin combined with high MV-induced peak thrombin can potentially identify patients at high risk of recurrence.