Key result
African swine fever becomes endemic in the Dominican Republic with ~1.5% cumulative incidence.
Why the study?
African swine fever remains present in the Dominican Republic despite control efforts, necessitating updated surveillance data to inform control strategies.
Observational (n=6,169)
African swine fever in the Dominican Republic appears to be reaching an endemic state with an R0 around 1, suggesting a need to shift from emergency response to sustained control.
Supports sustained ASF control over emergency measures in the DR; leaves open optimal strategies for endemic swine populations.
African swine fever (ASF) is a viral, hemorrhagic disease of swine that is reportable to the World Organisation for Animal Health. Since 2007, ASF has been expanding globally and causing severe disruption to the global swine industry. In 2021, ASF was detected in the Dominican Republic, prompting an emergency response from local and international officials. Three years later, ASF is still present in the country despite control efforts. This study used data from January 2023 to March 2024 from government-mandated sampling of commercial farms, a newly initiated active surveillance program of backyard farms, and passive reports to provide a comprehensive descriptive assessment of ASF in the Dominican Republic. The cumulative incidence for each region was calculated, and the reproductive ratio (R 0 ) was estimated using doubling time and time-dependent methods. ASF continues to be distributed throughout the Dominican Republic with lower cumulative incidence in central regions and R 0 around 1. These results suggest that ASF in the country is reaching a stable state that does not resemble an epidemic situation. This may suggest the need to change from an approach of emergency response to one of sustained and progressive control, ultimately for the long-term goal of ASF eradication in the Dominican Republic.
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Schambow et al. (2025) conducted an observational in African swine fever (n=6,169). African swine fever exposure was evaluated on Cumulative incidence and reproductive ratio (R0) of African swine fever. African swine fever remains widespread in the Dominican Republic with an overall cumulative incidence of 1.49% and a reproductive ratio around 1, indicating a transition to an endemic state.
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