Key result
AI-detected epicardial fat links to ~25% higher risk of incident MASLD/MASH per SD.
Why the study?
Excess epicardial adipose tissue is associated with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic dysfunction but traditionally requires advanced imaging for assessment, limiting scalable evaluation.
Does an AI-enabled echocardiography model (PanAdipo) accurately identify epicardial adiposity and predict cardiometabolic risk independent of BMI?
Cohort (n=22,834)
Yes
Does an AI-enabled echocardiography model (PanAdipo) accurately identify epicardial adiposity and predict cardiometabolic risk independent of BMI?
An AI-based deep learning model can accurately extract a biomarker of adverse epicardial adiposity from routine echocardiograms, predicting cardiometabolic dysfunction and incident metabolic disease independently of BMI.
May enable scalable echo-based epicardial fat assessment for residual cardiometabolic risk; leaves open prospective validation before practice change.
Background Excess epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is associated with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) dysfunction, but its assessment has traditionally required advanced imaging. Objectives We investigated whether AI-enabled echocardiography could characterize epicardial adiposity and identify residual cardiometabolic risk beyond body mass index (BMI). Methods We developed PanAdipo , a video-based deep learning model in 1,114,441 videos from 28,797 studies across the Yale-New Haven Health System (YNHHS; 2016-2022), using report-derived expert reader labels of prominent EAT (2.3% of studies). PanAdipo was evaluated in five cohorts: a temporally distinct YNHHS transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) set (n=4,588 patients contributing 5,130 studies), an emergency department point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) cohort (n=10,957), the geographically distinct MIMIC-IV dataset (n=4,549), the community-based Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA Exam 6, n=2,740), and in held-out YNHHS patients with paired coronary CT angiography within 12 months (n=5,167). Analyses examined discrimination of the report label and of CT-defined high indexed EAT volume, correlation with paired cardiac CT phenotypes, and BMI-adjusted associations with cardiometabolic biomarkers and newly documented metabolic disease. Results In the held-out health system test set, PanAdipo identified prominent EAT documented in clinical reports with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.82-0.91) across all views and of up to 0.93 when combining apical 4-chamber and parasternal views. Against paired CT-derived measurements, PanAdipo discriminated age- and sex-specific high EAT (EAT/heart volume ≥95th percentile) with AUROCs of 0.91 to 0.95 across age-sex groups and correlated more strongly with indexed EAT volume (ρ=0.76) than with BMI (ρ=0.41, all P<0.001); PanAdipo alone explained 53% of indexed EAT volume variance, versus 23% for age, sex, and BMI combined. In MESA, higher scores were associated with an adverse metabolic profile (higher HOMA-IR [β=0.17 per SD; 95% CI, 0.11-0.22]) after adjustment for age, sex, and BMI. In health system TTE and POCUS cohorts, higher scores were associated with newly documented MASLD/MASH (BMI-adjusted HR pooled 1.31 [1.03-1.67] per SD of log[PanAdipo]) and hyperlipidemia (1.11 [1.04-1.18]). Conclusions AI-enabled echocardiography provides a scalable digital biomarker that characterizes prominent epicardial adiposity and is associated with an adverse cardiometabolic profile, highlighting a role for echocardiography in metabolic risk stratification. CONDENSED ABSTRACT Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is linked to cardiometabolic risk, but its assessment has traditionally required advanced imaging. We developed PanAdipo, a deep learning model that derives a digital biomarker of EAT from routine echocardiography. PanAdipo tracks CT-defined epicardial adiposity (ρ=0.76; AUROC 0.91-0.95 for age-/sex-specific high indexed-EAT), yet correlates modestly with body mass index (BMI; ρ=0.19-0.41). After BMI adjustment, higher scores were associated with insulin resistance in a community-based cohort and newly documented metabolic disease across health systems. AI-enabled echocardiography may provide a scalable window into epicardial adiposity, with potential applications for enriching trial populations and monitoring response to cardiometabolic therapies.
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Aminorroaya et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Cardiometabolic dysfunction and epicardial adiposity (n=22,834). PanAdipo AI model score vs. Lower PanAdipo scores / Conventional echocardiographic measures was evaluated on Discrimination of prominent epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) in the held-out test set (AUROC 0.91, 95% CI 0.88-0.94). The PanAdipo AI model accurately discriminated prominent epicardial adipose tissue with an AUROC of 0.91, and a 1-SD increment in the score was independently associated with a 25% higher risk of incident MASLD/MASH (HR 1.25).
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