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March 21, 2026ESMO OpenOpen Access

402eP Temporal trends and world bank income-level disparities in mortality from tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer: Insights from global burden of disease (1980–2023)

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Authors

SSSH SHAHABSAShabbir AhmedAHA. Hassan

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Overview

Temporal trends show disparities in lung cancer mortality by income level, indicating persistent public health challenges.

Key Points

  • This research aims to analyze trends in lung cancer mortality, incidence, and disease burden from 1980 to 2023 globally.
  • Used Joinpoint Regression Program for trend analysis.
  • Applied ARIMA modeling to forecast trends until 2035.
  • Analyzed data on age-standardized death rates (ASDR), disability-adjusted life years (ASR-DALYs), and incidence rates (ASIR) in Serbia.
  • ASDR in Serbia increased from 36.0 in 1980 to 40.5 in 2023, showing a rising trend.
  • ASR-DALYs declined from 1103.5 in 1990 to 1010.7 in 2023, despite initial increases.
  • ASIR remained stable with no significant change from 1990 to 2023.
  • By 2035, the ASDR is projected to decline to 39.2, while ASR-DALYs and ASIR will decrease by 8.0% and 8.4%, respectively.

Cite This Study

SHAHAB et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69be34d16e48c4981c672fb7https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esmoop.2026.106715
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1401eP Patterns of lung cancer incidence and mortality in Europe: Age- and sex-stratified epidemiology and long-term projections2026
  2. 2400eP Trends and projections of lung cancer burden in Serbia, 1980–2035: A global burden of disease study analysis2026
  3. 3Global lung cancer burden, trends, and projections from 2010 to 2050: A population-level severity framework integrating DALYs-per-case and mortality-to-incidence ratio2026
  4. 4Global Burden of Respiratory Tract Cancers From 1990 to 2021: Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 20212026
  5. 5Global, Regional, and National Burden of Lung Cancer from 1990 to 2021, and Predictions for 2040: Insights from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study2025