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March 26, 2019PLoS ONEOpen Access

Prognostic value of NT-proBNP added to clinical parameters to predict two-year prognosis of chronic heart failure patients with mid-range and reduced ejection fraction – A report from FAR NHL prospective registry

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Key result

Adding NT-proBNP improves clinical model prediction of two-year mortality, transplant, or LVAD in chronic HF.

  • AUC 0.790
  • P<0.001
  • n=1,088

Why the study?

Guidelines recommend predicting chronic heart failure prognosis using natriuretic peptides, NYHA classification, and comorbidities, prompting the development of a prognostic score integrating these factors.

Does adding NT-proBNP to clinical parameters improve the prediction of two-year mortality, heart transplantation, or LVAD implantation in patients with HFrEF and HFmrEF?

Population

1,088 chronic heart failure patients with HFrEF (LVEF<40%) and HFmrEF (LVEF 40-49%)

Comparison

Clinical model with added NT-proBNP level vs clinical model alone

Design

Prospective registry study

Follow-up

Two-year

Authors

JŠJindřich ŠpinarLaboratoire Lorrain de Recherche en Informatique et ses ApplicationsLŠLenka ŠpinarováDorset HealthCare University NHS Foundation TrustFMFilip MálekSemmelweis University

Discussion

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Member takes

Implication

May refine risk estimates in HFrEF/HFmrEF; leaves open whether integration changes management or outcomes.

Key Points

  • To develop a prognostic risk score incorporating clinical comorbidities, NYHA classification, and NT-proBNP levels to predict two-year outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure.
  • Enrolled 1,088 consecutive chronic heart failure patients with reduced (LVEF <40%) or mid-range (LVEF 40–49%) ejection fraction from a prospective registry.
  • Evaluated a composite primary endpoint comprising two-year all-cause mortality, heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation.
  • Assessed discrimination (AUC) for individual markers and a multivariable clinical model before and after the addition of NT-proBNP levels.
  • The primary endpoint occurred in 14.9% of patients overall, increasing with NYHA class (4.9% in class I, 11.4% in class II, and 27.8% in class III–IV; p < 0.001) and NT-proBNP level (3% for ≤125 ng/L, 10% for 126–1000 ng/L, and 15–37% for >1000 ng/L).
  • Individual discriminatory performance yielded an AUC of 0.670 (p < 0.001) for NYHA classification and an AUC of 0.722 (p < 0.001) for NT-proBNP.
  • A baseline clinical model incorporating older age, advanced NYHA class, anaemia, hyponatraemia, hyperuricaemia, and high furosemide dose achieved an AUC of 0.773 (p < 0.001), which improved to an AUC of 0.790 upon adding NT-proBNP.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=1,088)

Structured PICO

Does adding NT-proBNP to clinical parameters improve the prediction of two-year mortality, heart transplantation, or LVAD implantation in patients with HFrEF and HFmrEF?

P
Population
1,088 patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) (LVEF<40%) and mid-range EF (HFmrEF) (LVEF 40-49%)
I
Intervention
Prognostic score including NT-proBNP levels added to clinical parameters (older age, advanced heart failure (NYHA III+IV), anaemia, hyponatraemia, hyperuricaemia, and furosemide >40 mg daily)
C
Comparator
Clinical parameters alone
O
Outcome
Composite of two-year all-cause mortality, heart transplantation and/or LVAD implantationcomposite

Main Result

Effect estimate: AUC 0.790

p-value: p=<0.001

Adding NT-proBNP to a clinical prediction model improves prognostic accuracy for 2-year adverse outcomes in patients with HFrEF and HFmrEF.

Cite This Study

Špinar et al. (2019) conducted a cohort in Chronic heart failure with mid-range and reduced ejection fraction (n=1,088). NT-proBNP addition to clinical parameters vs. Clinical parameters alone was evaluated on Two-year all-cause mortality, heart transplantation and/or LVAD implantation (AUC 0.790, p=<0.001). Adding NT-proBNP to a clinical model improved the prediction of two-year all-cause mortality, heart transplantation, or LVAD implantation in chronic heart failure patients (AUC 0.773 to 0.790).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0d8d146e03bc61cb09ce57https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0214363

Topics

HFrEF treatmentHeart transplantationHeart failureHFpEF management
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Also Consider

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