Minute Ventilation/Carbon Dioxide Production Slope Could Predict Short- and Long-Term Prognosis of Patients After Acute Decompensated Heart Failure

(1) Background: Heart failure (HF) leads to functional disability and major cardiovascular events (MACEs). Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is the gold standard for assessing aerobic capacity and prognostic stratification. This study aimed to evaluate the predischarge CPET variables in patients with acute decompensated HF and identify the submaximal CPET variables with prognostic value. (2) Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at a tertiary center in Taiwan. Patients surviving their first episode of decompensated HF and undergoing predischarge CPET (February 2017 to January 2023) were analyzed. Follow-up was conducted until a MACE or administrative censoring (up to 5 years). Cox regression identified the significant predictors of MACE. (3) Results: The study included 553, 485, and 267 patients at the 3-month, 1-year, and 5-year follow-ups, respectively. MACE rates were 15.0%, 34.2%, and 50.9%. The VE/VCO2 slope was a significant predictor of MACE at all intervals. A VE/VCO2 slope >38.95 increased the risk of MACE by 2.49-fold at 3 months and 1.81-fold at 1 year (both p < 0.001). A slope > 37.35 increased the 5-year MACE risk by 1.75-fold (p = 0.002). (4) Conclusions: The VE/VCO2 slope is a significant submaximal CPET predictor of MACE in patients post-acute decompensated HF for both short- and long-term outcomes.