Key result
ESC guidelines reclassify ~34% of HFmrEF patients to HFrEF due to EF digit bias.
Why the study?
The study evaluated reclassification of patients from HFmrEF to HFrEF when EF = 40% was defined as HFrEF, the role of EF digit bias, and outcomes linked to missing or biased EF reports.
Observational (n=25,154)
Yes
A significant proportion of heart failure patients have EF reported with digit bias (ending in 0 or 5), which leads to substantial reclassification under new guidelines and is associated with worse clinical outcomes.
EF digit bias may distort 2021 ESC HF reclassification and risk stratification; leaves open whether standardized EF reporting improves outcomes.
AIMS: Aims were to evaluate (1) reclassification of patients from heart failure with mildly reduced (HFmrEF) to reduced (HFrEF) ejection fraction when an EF = 40% was considered as HFrEF, (2) role of EF digit bias, ie, EF reporting favouring 5% increments; (3) outcomes in relation to missing and biased EF reports, in a large multinational HF registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of 25,154 patients in the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) HF Long-Term registry, 17% had missing EF and of those with available EF, 24% had HFpEF (EF≥50%), 21% HFmrEF (40%-49%) and 55% HFrEF (<40%) according to the 2016 ESC guidelines´ classification. EF was "exactly" 40% in 7%, leading to reclassifying 34% of the HFmrEF population defined as EF = 40% to 49% to HFrEF when applying the 2021 ESC Guidelines classification (14% had HFmrEF as EF = 41% to 49% and 62% had HFrEF as EF≤40%). EF was reported as a value ending with 0 or 5 in ∼37% of the population. Such potential digit bias was associated with more missing values for other characteristics and higher risk of all-cause death and HF hospitalization. Patients with missing EF had higher risk of all-cause and CV mortality, and HF hospitalization compared to those with recorded EF. CONCLUSIONS: Many patients had reported EF = 40%. This led to substantial reclassification of EF from old HFmrEF (40%-49%) to new HFrEF (≤40%). There was considerable digit bias in EF reporting and missing EF reporting, which appeared to occur not at random and may reflect less rigorous overall care and worse outcomes.
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Savarese et al. (2023) conducted an observational in Heart failure (n=25,154). 2021 ESC Guidelines classification (EF ≤40% as HFrEF) vs. 2016 ESC guidelines classification (EF <40% as HFrEF) was evaluated on Reclassification of HFmrEF to HFrEF. Applying the 2021 ESC guidelines reclassified 34% of the HFmrEF population to HFrEF due to an EF of exactly 40%, while EF digit bias was present in ~37% of patients and linked to worse outcomes.
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