IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 32.4% to 44.1% (+11.7pp, n=118) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the ACCUMULATION phase filter to the current trade window would have blocked 4 of the 10 listed trades (GBPUSD SHORT via rizzy7m, XAUUSD SHORT via rizzy5m, EURJPY SHORT via fade_h4, USDJPY LONG via rizzy) if they fell outside that quarterly phase. The two closed losses (GBPUSD LONG via wkjudas, USDJPY SHORT via wkjudas) might have been avoided, while the one closed win (USDCHF SHORT via rizzy5m) would likely have been retained. Net PnL delta would be positive, potentially shifting the window from roughly breakeven to a small gain, but the small sample (n=10) makes this speculative. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, the +11.7pp win-rate improvement from the backtest (n=118) suggests a meaningful reduction in losing trades, likely from filtering out counter-trend entries during acc Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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