LAB #4445 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 44.2% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 44.2% (+12.7pp, n=138) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the ACCUMULATION-phase filter to the live window above would have rejected the three wkjudas LOSS trades (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) — all closed as losses — and also the AUDUSD SHORT via rizzy7m (LOSS). That removes 4 of 10 trades, all losers, leaving 6 trades with 4 wins and 2 losses (the two REJECTED/open trades remain ambiguous). Win rate in this window jumps from 4/10 (40%) to 4/6 (66.7%), and PnL improves by roughly +3R (assuming ~1R loss each) — a clear positive same-window effect, though sample is tiny and survivorship-biased toward your recent winners. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, the filter likely reduces trade frequency by ~30–40% (only ACCUMULATION quarters pass), which could cut total R-multiple gains even if win rate improves — you need to check w Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com