LAB #988 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 44.2% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 44.2% (+12.5pp, n=120) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the ACCUMULATION phase filter to the current trade window would have rejected 5 of the 10 trades (EURUSD SHORT, USDCAD LONG, GBPUSD SHORT, XAUUSD SHORT, EURJPY SHORT) as they fall outside the accumulation phase. Of the remaining 5 trades, 3 were wins (USDCHF SHORT, USDJPY LONG, GBPUSD SHORT via rizzy5m) and 2 were losses (GBPUSD LONG, GBPUSD SHORT via rizzy5m is rejected so only 1 loss remains). This would shift the win rate from 4 wins out of 10 (40%) to 3 wins out of 5 (60%), a +20pp improvement, though the sample is too small to be statistically significant. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, the filter is expected to improve win rate from ~31.6% to ~44.2% based on the backtest, but the reduction in trade frequency (roughly 25% fewer trades) may lower absolute returns. The prim Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com