Impact of Worsening Heart Failure on Long-Term Prognosis in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

Worsening heart failure (HF), defined as hospitalization for worsening signs and symptoms of HF or the need for urgent intravenous diuretics, is often considered a surrogate of poor prognosis in clinical trials. However, data on the prognostic implications of worsening HF in patients with HF and reduced ejection fraction is limited. Patients who had a first echocardiographic diagnosis of left ventricular systolic dysfunction, defined as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤45%, were identified. Worsening HF was defined as hospitalization for HF or urgent need for intravenous diuretics. All-cause mortality was chosen as the study end point. A total of 1,801 patients (mean age 64 ± 12 years, 74% men) were analyzed. Worsening HF was observed in 275 patients (15%) during a median follow-up of 20 months, while, 435 patients (24%) died during a median follow-up of 60 months (Interquartile range 28 to 60 months). The 5-year survival rate was significantly lower in the worsening HF cohort compared with the non-worsening HF cohort (Log-rank p <0.0001), and it was significantly different between the worsening HF cohort and the nonworsening HF cohort for LVEF ≤25% (log-rank p <0.0001) and LVEF 26% to 34% (log-rank p = 0.038) but not for LVEF 35% to 45% (log-rank p = 0.14). After adjustment for important clinical and echocardiographic predictors, worsening HF was independently associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.46, 95% confidence interval 1.09 to 1.96, p = 0.011). In conclusion, worsening HF, defined by HF hospitalization or the urgent need for intravenous diuretics, is independently associated with poor long-term prognosis in patients with HF and reduced ejection fraction.