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June 21, 2006Journal of the American Society of Nephrology

International Comparison of the Relationship of Chronic Kidney Disease Prevalence and ESRD Risk

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Population

84,770 adults from population-based surveys in Norway and the United States.

Design

Cohort

Authors

SHStein HallanJCJosef CoreshBABrad C. Astor

Discussion

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Overview

Lower progression rates may explain lower European ESRD incidence; hypothesis-generating for modifiable determinants beyond prevalence.

Key Points

  • To determine whether the lower incidence of end-stage renal disease in Europe compared to the United States stems from differences in early chronic kidney disease prevalence or varying rates of disease progression.
  • Analyzed cross-sectional health survey data from Norway's HUNT II cohort (n=65,181; 1995–1997) and US NHANES surveys (n=15,488 in 1988–1994; n=4,101 in 1999–2000) using standardized sex-specific persistent albuminuria and glomerular filtration rate cutoffs.
  • Extracted end-stage renal disease incidence from national registries to estimate the relative risk of progressing from stages 3 and 4 chronic kidney disease to kidney failure.
  • Total chronic kidney disease prevalence was 10.2% in Norway (stage 1: 2.7%, stage 2: 3.2%, stage 3: 4.2%, stage 4: 0.2%), matching US prevalence rates of 11.0% (1988–1994) and 11.7% (1999–2000).
  • US white patients had a higher progression risk from chronic kidney disease stages 3 or 4 to end-stage renal disease than Norwegian patients (relative risk 2.5), an association that persisted after adjustment for age, gender, and diabetes.

Structured PICO

P
Population
84,770 adults from population-based surveys in Norway (HUNT II, n=65,181) and the United States (NHANES 1988-1994, n=15,488; NHANES 1999-2000, n=4,101).
O
Outcome
Prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages and relative risk of progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD)hard clinical

The lower incidence of ESRD in Europe compared to the US is likely due to a lower rate of progression to ESRD rather than a lower prevalence of earlier-stage CKD.

Cite This Study

Hallan et al. (2006) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7d0cdf342883c6199ffb94https://doi.org/10.1681/asn.2005121273
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