Key result
Deep learning ECG model detects acute heart failure with ~0.84 external validation AUROC.
Why the study?
To develop and evaluate a deep learning model for immediate and accurate diagnosis of acute HF using standard 12-lead ECG waveforms.
Does a deep learning model applied to standard 12-lead ECG waveforms improve the detection of acute heart failure in adult patients?
Observational (n=50,445)
Yes
Does a deep learning model applied to standard 12-lead ECG waveforms improve the detection of acute heart failure in adult patients?
Effect estimate: AUROC 0.997 (95% CI 0.995-0.998)
A deep learning ensemble model analyzing standard 12-lead ECGs can highly accurately detect acute heart failure across all ejection fraction phenotypes, offering a rapid and scalable tool for early diagnosis in clinical practice.
May support ECG-based AI screening for acute heart failure; leaves open prospective validation before clinical adoption.
Aims: To develop and evaluate a deep learning model for immediate and accurate diagnosis of acute heart failure(HF) using standard 12-lead electrocardiogram(ECG) waveforms collected from a large cohort of patients. Methods and results: -terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) evaluation, and ECG within one week of clinical diagnosis at Samsung Medical from 1 February 2011 and 31 December 2022. The cohort included 1949 acute HF patients and a control group of 24 603 patients with normal NT-proBNP levels and no significant cardiac dysfunction. Four deep learning models (1D-CNN-Res, 1D-CNN-Dense, CRT-Net without transformer, CRT-Net) and their ensemble were developed using an 8:2 stratified split, ensuring no patient overlap. An external validation was performed using MIMIC-IV dataset, which comprised 7868 acute HF patients and 16 025 controls. The performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and F1-score. The ensemble model demonstrated the best diagnostic performance with an AUROC of 0.997 and F1-score of 0.649 and the external validation showed AUROC of 0.842 and F1-score of 0.640. Notably, F1-score indicated diagnostic performance across a diverse range of ejection fraction values and demographic subgroups. Post-hoc analysis of false-positive cases revealed underlying cardiovascular risks, highlighting the model's utility in identifying high-risk patients. Conclusion: The proposed deep learning models demonstrated remarkable performance in diagnosing acute HF. These findings support its potential utility in facilitating early diagnosis and improving clinical outcomes.
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Lee et al. (2025) conducted an observational in Acute heart failure (n=50,445). Ensemble deep learning AI-ECG model vs. Control group (no acute heart failure and normal NT-proBNP) was evaluated on Diagnostic performance (AUROC) for detecting acute heart failure on the internal test set (AUROC 0.997, 95% CI 0.995-0.998). An ensemble deep learning model analyzed standard 12-lead ECG waveforms and accurately diagnosed acute heart failure, achieving an AUROC of 0.997 internally and 0.842 in external validation.
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