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September 17, 2026JACC AsiaOpen Access

Osteosarcopenia as a Risk Factor for Atrial Fibrillation

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Why the study?

Does osteosarcopenia increase the risk of incident atrial fibrillation in adults without previous AF?

Population

482,137 participants without previous AF at baseline from the UK Biobank, mean age 56.4 ± 8.1 years, 45.2%…

Comparison

Osteosarcopenia vs Reference group, sarcopenia alone, and…

Design

Cohort

Follow-up

median 13.8 [13.1;14.6] years

Key result

Osteosarcopenia was independently associated with an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation (aHR 1.33; 95% CI 1.09-1.62) compared to the reference group.

Authors

KLKyung‐Yeon LeeTRTae-Min RheeJCJungMin Choi

Discussion

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Overview

Osteosarcopenia may flag higher AF risk for screening consideration; extends observational links to incident AF but requires prospective validation before practice change.

Key Points

  • To investigate whether osteosarcopenia is associated with incident atrial fibrillation and evaluate its incremental prognostic value beyond established risk factors.
  • Analyzed baseline data from 482,137 participants without prior atrial fibrillation in the UK Biobank (mean age 56.4 ± 8.1 years; 45.2% male) over a median follow-up of 13.8 years.
  • Categorized participants into four groups: reference, sarcopenia alone, osteoporosis alone, and osteosarcopenia, using multivariable Cox regression to estimate incident atrial fibrillation risk.
  • Performed replication analysis using data from the independent H-PEACE cohort.
  • In the primary UK Biobank cohort, osteosarcopenia was present in 0.65% of individuals and showed the strongest independent association with incident atrial fibrillation (aHR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.09–1.62).
  • Osteoporosis alone was significantly associated with incident atrial fibrillation (aHR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.03–1.36), whereas sarcopenia alone was not (aHR: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.99–1.10).
  • Replication in the H-PEACE cohort confirmed a heightened risk of atrial fibrillation among individuals with osteosarcopenia (adjusted OR: 2.10; 95% CI: 1.06–4.13; P = 0.032).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=482,137)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Does osteosarcopenia increase the risk of incident atrial fibrillation in adults without previous AF?

P
Population
482,137 participants without previous atrial fibrillation (mean age 56.4 years, 54.8% female) followed for a median of 13.8 years.
E
Exposure
Osteosarcopenia (concurrent reductions in skeletal muscle mass and bone mineral density)
C
Comparator
Reference group (no sarcopenia or osteoporosis), sarcopenia alone, and osteoporosis alone
O
Outcome
Incident AFhard clinical

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 1.33 (95% CI 1.09–1.62)

Osteosarcopenia is independently associated with an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation, suggesting a potential role for tailored AF screening in this population.

Limitations

  • The improvement in risk discrimination was limited.

Cite This Study

Lee et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Atrial Fibrillation (n=482,137). Osteosarcopenia vs. Reference group (no sarcopenia or osteoporosis) was evaluated on Incident atrial fibrillation (aHR 1.33, 95% CI 1.09-1.62). Osteosarcopenia was independently associated with an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation (aHR 1.33; 95% CI 1.09-1.62) compared to the reference group.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aaba4611561938ee54ba360https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacasi.2026.08.006
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Osteosarcopenia and risk of atrial fibrillation from the UK Biobank2025
  2. 2The association between osteosarcopenia and the risk of heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation: a prospective cohort study from UK biobank2026
  3. 3Sarcopenia in Atrial Fibrillation: A Risk Factor for Adverse Outcomes in a UK Biobank Study2025
  4. 4Effect of sarcopenia on risk of atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies2026
  5. 5Association between sarcopenia and atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis2026