LAB #4412 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 31.6% to 48.1% (+16.6pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 31.6% to 48.1% (+16.6pp, n=27) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a minimum of 7 confirmations would have rejected the three trades marked [REJECTED/open] (EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG, and NZDUSD SHORT via wkjudas). Among the remaining seven accepted trades, the win rate would have been 4 wins / 7 = 57.1% (vs. the raw 40% if counting all 10), but the sample is tiny and the rejected trades are still open, so their final outcomes are unknown. The +16.6pp backtest gain is not directly visible here; the live window shows a modest improvement but with high variance. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, filtering to ≥7 confirmations will likely reduce trade frequency by roughly 30–40%, which may lower total PnL even if win rate improves, since fewer trades means less compounding. The main risk is overfitting to a small backtest window (n=27) — the +16.6pp could be Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com