Does a ventilatory classification system based on VE/VCO2 slope stratify the risk of major cardiac events in patients with heart failure?
A multiple-level classification system based on the VE/VCO2 slope effectively stratifies the 2-year risk of major cardiac events across the spectrum of heart failure severity.
BACKGROUND: Ventilatory efficiency, commonly assessed by the minute ventilation (VE)-carbon dioxide production (VCO2) slope, is a powerful prognostic marker in the heart failure population. The purpose of the present study is to refine the prognostic power of the VE/VCO2 slope by developing a ventilatory class system that correlates VE/VCO2 cut points to cardiac-related events. METHODS AND RESULTS: Four hundred forty-eight subjects diagnosed with heart failure were included in this analysis. The VE/VCO2 slope was determined via cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Subjects were tracked for major cardiac events (mortality, transplantation, or left ventricular assist device implantation) for 2 years after cardiopulmonary exercise testing. There were 81 cardiac-related events (64 deaths, 10 heart transplants, and 7 left ventricular assist device implantations) during the 2-year tracking period. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed the overall VE/VCO2 slope classification scheme was significant (area under the curve: 0.78 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.83, P or = 45.0. The numbers of subjects in VCs I through IV were 144, 149, 112, and 43, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed event-free survival for subjects in VC I, II, III, and IV was 97.2%, 85.2%, 72.3%, and 44.2%, respectively (log-rank 86.8; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A multiple-level classificatory system based on exercise VE/VCO2 slope stratifies the burden of risk for the entire spectrum of heart failure severity. Application of this classification is therefore proposed to improve clinical decision making in heart failure.
Arena et al. (Tue,) studied this question.