Key result
The overall mean annual probability of African swine fever virus introduction to Japan via pork products in air passengers' luggage was estimated to be 0.941 (95% CI, 0.661-1.000).
Population
214 international commercial flights travelling from 47 origin territories to 31 destination airports in Japan
Design
Other
Authors
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May warrant enhanced luggage screening at borders; leaves open the most effective mitigation strategies.
The study highlights a high annual probability of African swine fever virus introduction to Japan via pork products in air passengers' luggage, emphasizing the need for improved risk management.
Itō et al. (2019) studied African swine fever virus (ASFV) introduction. Pork products brought in air passengers' luggage was evaluated on Overall mean annual probability of ASFV introduction to Japan via PPAP (95% CI 0.661-1.000). The overall mean annual probability of African swine fever virus introduction to Japan via pork products in air passengers' luggage was estimated to be 0.941 (95% CI, 0.661-1.000).
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