Key result
Heart Rate Score ≥70% shows no association with death or heart failure events.
Why the study?
Survival prediction in ICD and CRT-D patients using a simple baseline Heart Rate Score derived from device histograms was not established.
Observational (n=172)
Yes
Hazard Ratio: 1.05 (95% CI 0.6–1.86)
Absolute Event Rate: 31.1% vs 29.4%
p-value: p=0.862
Does not support ≥70% Heart Rate Score threshold for risk stratification in ICD/CRT-D patients; leaves open continuous score utility for mortality prediction.
BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that survival in implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) and cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator (CRT-D) patients is predicted by baseline Heart Rate Score. METHODS: Heart Rate Score is determined from the atrial paced and sensed histogram of a DDD ICD or CRT-D, and defined as percent of beats in the histogram in the tallest 10 beats/min range bin. It was calculated at initial remote monitoring for patients enrolled in LATITUDE® without persistent atrial fibrillation, and with pulse generators implanted in 2006-2011. Univariate, multivariate, and Kaplan-Meier analyses determined the impact of Heart Rate Score on survival. RESULTS: Of 57,893 ICDs and 67,929 CRT-Ds followed for 2.4 ± 1.5 years, each 10% increase in Heart Rate Score was associated with decreased survival (CRT-D hazard ratio [HR] 1.07 95%, confidence interval 1.06-1.07, P < 0.0001; ICD HR 1.05, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.06, P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed survival decreased with increasing age, atrial fibrillation, presence of a shock in first-year follow-up, and increasing programmed lower pacing rate in ICD and CRT-D patients. Increased percent right ventricular pacing predicted mortality in ICD patients, while male gender and lower percent left ventricular pacing predicted mortality in CRT patients. Heart Rate Score predicted survival independent of those variables. Heart Rate Score correlates with heart rate variability (standard deviation of average R-R intervals [SDANN]) when both are obtainable, but SDANN was only present in 6% of patients with Heart Rate Score >70%. CONCLUSION: A simple device histogram measure, Heart Rate Score, predicts survival in ICD and CRT-D patients independent of the available variables, and even when SDANN is unavailable.
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Wilkoff et al. (2017) conducted an observational in Systolic heart failure (n=172). Baseline Heart Rate Score (HrSc) ≥ 70% vs. Baseline Heart Rate Score (HrSc) < 70% was evaluated on Composite of all-cause death and heart failure events (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.60-1.86, p=0.862). A baseline Heart Rate Score ≥ 70% was not significantly associated with the composite of all-cause death and heart failure events compared to a score < 70% (HR 1.05).
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